
\begin{figure}[H]
\centering
\caption{ Subjective, predicted and true first-choice probability (only applicants with positive true risk)}
\label{figRisks_1st}
\makebox[\textwidth][c]{%
	%[1,1]
	\begin{subfigure}[b]{0.450\textwidth}
		\centering
		\caption{\centering Subjective and true first-choice placement probability}
		%\label{ }
		\includegraphics[scale=0.550]{figuresCL/survey2020/histNoPlacedVsReal_1st_all.png}
	\end{subfigure}
	%[1,2]
	\begin{subfigure}[b]{0.450\textwidth}
		\centering
		\caption{\centering Optimism over chances of 1st choice}
		%\label{ }
		\includegraphics[scale=0.550]{figuresCL/survey2020/histOptimism_1st_all.png}
	\end{subfigure}
} % End of \makebox
	\vspace{.02cm}

\makebox[\textwidth][c]{%
	%[2,1]
	\begin{subfigure}[b]{0.450\textwidth}
		\centering
		\caption{\centering Binscatter of subjective vs true first-choice placement probability}
		%\label{ }
		\includegraphics[scale=0.550]{figuresCL/survey2020/binsregDeclaredRealRisk_1st_all.png}
	\end{subfigure}
	%[2,2]
	\begin{subfigure}[b]{0.450\textwidth}
		\centering
		\caption{\centering Binscatter of predicted vs true first-choice placement probability}
		%\label{ }
		\includegraphics[scale=0.550]{figuresCL/survey2020/binsregPredictedRealRisk_1st_all.png}
	\end{subfigure}
	} % End of \makebox
%\floatfoot{\scriptsize \textit{Notes:} }
\end{figure}
